Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236828           1          29          58          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000981225           3          21          52          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.86794e-07           1           0          48          46           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       18.00       55.00       22.75        2.75     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0