Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235149           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000956947           2          34          52          11           1        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   6.32920e-07           1           0          64          30           5        C6.9
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.75       24.25       55.50       15.25        2.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5