Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234477           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000945649           1          34          53          12           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.36258e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.00       31.25       50.25       14.25        1.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      X1.2