Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234589           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946651           1          35          52          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   5.73487e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.0
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             3.00       32.50       49.00       14.50        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      X2.7