Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233990           4          44          38          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000935970           4          39          49           8           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.82607e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             4.25       34.25       47.75       13.25        0.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1