Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232888           4          46          39          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000920773           7          49          38           6           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   4.13850e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C2.7
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             4.00       28.00       53.75       13.25        1.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5