Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235768           4          35          50          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000965010           2          32          50          14           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   6.74502e-07           1           0          59          34           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             2.00       18.75       53.50       22.75        3.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.9