Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235838           4          33          51          11           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000967929           2          30          50          16           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   6.83207e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.75       18.50       54.00       22.00        2.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0