Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238789           5          18          58          16           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101188           1          16          56          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.10884e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            69           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.75       10.00       51.75       30.75        5.75     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      M4.5