Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236762           1          29          58          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000982242           3          21          52          21           3        C2.6
GOES Xray  =   7.67560e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.25       14.50       54.00       26.50        3.75     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.9