Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235311           5          40          43          11           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000957402           2          34          51          12           1        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   7.27481e-07           1           0          54          36           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       23.25       52.50       18.75        3.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1