Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234579           4          46          36          13           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000945434           1          35          53          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   6.04716e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            54           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             1.75       25.00       54.00       18.25        1.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5