Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232751           4          44          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000911697           8          49          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   4.16588e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             3.50       27.75       56.50       11.50        0.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0