Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234717           4          44          41          10           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000943924           1          36          52          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   6.02344e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            69           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.25       21.50       56.75       19.00        1.50     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5