Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237947           5          25          56          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000998613           1          16          55          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   9.08861e-07           1           0          46          46           7        M1.1
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             2.00       10.25       57.25       26.75        3.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2