Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239738           1          12          63          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102510           3          17          53          23           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.13157e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        7.25       53.75       31.00        6.50     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      M6.8