Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234067           4          44          39          12           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927544           4          45          43           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   5.93174e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.5
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       27.75       53.00       15.50        1.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0