Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233001           3          47          38          12           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000911199           7          51          35           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   4.56330e-07           2           1          80          15           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             3.50       30.25       53.50       12.00        0.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3