Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233526           3          47          37          13           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000922593           6          49          39           6           0        B9.2
GOES Xray  =   4.76124e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             3.00       25.25       51.75       18.75        1.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9