Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233667           3          44          40          13           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000929706           3          43          45           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   5.04327e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.25       24.25       51.50       21.00        1.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0