Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234212           4          46          37          12           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000943720           1          35          53          11           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.03543e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.50       20.25       56.75       19.75        1.75     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2