Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235091           4          40          44          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000962897           1          30          52          15           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   6.71551e-07           1           0          60          33           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.75       17.50       57.75       19.75        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9