Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234768           4          44          41          10           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951832           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   5.99392e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50       21.75       54.50       20.25        2.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0