Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234986           4          41          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000949496           1          34          50          14           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   6.51739e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.00       23.50       54.25       18.00        2.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5