Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235090           4          40          44          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000952141           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   6.69717e-07           1           0          60          33           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =            51           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             1.50       23.00       55.75       17.50        2.25     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4