Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234755           4          43          41          11           1        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000948345           1          34          51          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.25923e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       23.50       55.25       18.25        1.50     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3