Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237166           1          28          57          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979315           3          22          52          20           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   8.51718e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.25       17.50       55.75       22.00        3.50     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0