Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240149           2          14          62          21           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105121           4          14          56          21           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.19159e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.00        7.00       53.25       31.25        6.50     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4