Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240900           3          13          67          15           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107148           2          15          62          18           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.26888e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.75        7.00       56.50       29.00        5.75     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1