Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236720           1          31          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100802           1          17          55          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.44407e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.00       12.00       58.00       24.75        4.25     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4