Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236605           1          33          55           9           2        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101091           1          17          55          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   7.13195e-07           1           0          56          34           9        C8.5
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.00       12.50       56.75       24.75        5.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4