Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237737           4          27          56          11           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103549           3          20          52          21           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.35452e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.4
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.00       11.75       59.25       22.25        4.75     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7