Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237419           2          25          61          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102649           3          16          55          22           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   7.85662e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.50       10.25       59.75       24.00        4.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9