Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241031           3          13          66          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106108           2          15          61          19           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.22208e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.50        7.00       54.75       30.50        6.25     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0