Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239457           3          14          58          23           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103204           3          19          53          21           4        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   1.09242e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            92           1           0          76          18           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.00        8.25       53.00       30.25        6.50     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      M3.9