Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238545           5          21          56          16           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101539           1          17          58          22           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   9.79424e-07           1           0          35          54          10        M1.2
est. ISN   =           116           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             1.75        9.50       49.75       33.75        5.25     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.8