Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238295           5          21          57          15           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101102           1          17          55          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   9.78686e-07           1           0          35          54          10        M1.2
est. ISN   =            99           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             2.00        9.75       53.50       29.75        5.00     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7