Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242246           1          13          62          20           4        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107564           2          12          67          17           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.45794e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           106           1           1          63          28           7        C6.9
 
together                             1.25        6.50       54.25       31.00        7.00     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      M2.2