Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237620           3          25          60          10           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100720           1          16          56          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   9.52724e-07           1           0          42          48           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =           110           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             1.25       10.25       54.00       29.25        5.25     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1