Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234490           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000953489           1          35          49          14           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.40083e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.00       34.00       45.75       16.00        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1