Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235043           4          40          44          11           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960080           2          30          54          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   5.81200e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.25       29.25       50.25       16.00        1.25     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2