Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236100           4          32          53          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000974226           3          25          50          19           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   7.46180e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.75       26.25       46.00       21.25        2.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7