Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246628           2          14          54          22           8        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114778           2           3          74          19           2        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.95717e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.50        6.00       55.25       30.75        6.50     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3