Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253258           1           0          63          30           6        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126001           1           3          63          31           2        C5.3
GOES Xray  =   2.67922e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           119           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        1.00       50.75       40.25        7.50     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      C9.2