Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250654           1           4          61          32           2        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123084           1           0          66          30           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.05470e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           122           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.25        1.50       51.00       40.50        6.75     C8.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0