Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248903           1           4          61          32           2        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120935           1           4          64          28           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.77268e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           113           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.50        2.25       51.50       38.75        7.00     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      C6.8