Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235758           4          35          50          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961855           1          31          51          15           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   6.71717e-07           1           0          59          34           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.25       21.00       56.25       18.00        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5