Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233441           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000917198           7          51          35           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.34089e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.75       25.75       49.75       20.00        1.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2