Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233248           4          49          36          11           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000909148           5          53          33           9           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   5.21964e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.50       29.25       48.75       17.25        1.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6