Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236466           3          29          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000975545           3          25          51          18           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   8.51217e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            81           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.00       13.75       56.00       23.50        4.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6